Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000120 0.000133 0.000147 0.000163 0.000181 0.000200 0.000222
2025-11-23 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000162 0.000191 0.000225 0.000266
2025-11-30 0.000087 0.000107 0.000132 0.000163 0.000202 0.000249 0.000311
2025-12-07 0.000076 0.000098 0.000125 0.000161 0.000209 0.000270 0.000354
2025-12-14 0.000068 0.000092 0.000122 0.000164 0.000221 0.000298 0.000407
2025-12-21 0.000062 0.000086 0.000118 0.000165 0.000231 0.000322 0.000459
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000080 0.000113 0.000164 0.000237 0.000343 0.000506
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000076 0.000112 0.000166 0.000249 0.000371 0.000567
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000073 0.000109 0.000166 0.000257 0.000395 0.000623
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000069 0.000106 0.000166 0.000263 0.000416 0.000677
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000065 0.000102 0.000165 0.000269 0.000436 0.000730
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000062 0.000100 0.000165 0.000276 0.000459 0.000791
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000059 0.000097 0.000163 0.000280 0.000478 0.000847
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000056 0.000094 0.000163 0.000286 0.000501 0.000913
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000054 0.000092 0.000163 0.000294 0.000527 0.000987
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000051 0.000089 0.000162 0.000297 0.000546 0.001050
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000050 0.000089 0.000164 0.000309 0.000581 0.001145
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000048 0.000087 0.000165 0.000317 0.000610 0.001232
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000046 0.000085 0.000164 0.000321 0.000632 0.001307
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000045 0.000085 0.000166 0.000333 0.000669 0.001418
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000043 0.000083 0.000167 0.000341 0.000698 0.001515
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000042 0.000081 0.000166 0.000346 0.000724 0.001606
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000040 0.000080 0.000165 0.000351 0.000748 0.001695